Football predictions: updated

At the beginning of the season, I predicted State to go 7-5 with losses to LSU, Georgia, Auburn, Alabama and Arkansas.

I predicted Ole Miss to go 6-6 with losses to California, Alabama, Auburn, LSU, Texas A&M, and MSU.

So far, that means for MSU I missed on the LSU game and I’m hoping I was wrong about Arkansas too. I’m adjusting the prediction to 9-3.

For Ole Miss I missed on Arkansas, that I thought they’d beat. I now do NOT think they’ll beat Kentucky, or A&M either, putting them at 4-8.

I had predicted that the year could be as bad as 5-7 for State or as good as 10-2 for Ole Miss. I REALLY missed the direction the two teams were going to go this year, with State being a LOT better than I thought (even with a really tough schedule) and Ole Miss being a HELL of a lot WORSE than I’d thought. Sadly for Ole Miss I don’t think the next couple of years are going to be any better for them with the NCAA stuff hanging over them; while State seems to have a pretty good season on call for next year. We’ll see.

SEC West Championship hopes

Still lots of games left but right now Ole Miss or LSU goes to the SEC Championship if they win out.
Alabama goes to the SEC Championship if they win out and Ole Miss loses another game. I think this is correct because Alabama would have a head up victory versus LSU and because of the UM loss to Florida.

After that a lot of wacky stuff would have to happen for any other team to make it and I doubt that’ll happen. I think even if State wins out LSU would have to drop 3 of it’s last four for them to get in. A&M would need to win out and have Alabama AND Ole Miss lose 2-3 more games each. I don’t see either of those situations happening. But any team can upset those top three by beating them.

Right now I think Ole Miss, Bama and LSU simply have to play their best and see how it turns out. It’s going to start getting crazy between those three going down the home stretch. I think there is a very good chance that the SEC will NOT be a part of the playoffs this year, and I’m okay with that. It doesn’t mean the SEC is ‘down’ (at lest not the West) or that the best football isn’t being played here. It just means we’ve got some serious parity compared to the other conferences.

Pretty good ballgames left in the SEC West!

UM(4-1):
ARK
LSU
MSU

Alabama(4-1):
LSU
MSU
Aub

LSU(4-0):
Alabama
Ark
UM
A&M

A&M(3-2):
Aub
Vandy
LSU

MSU(2-2):
Mizzou
Alabama
Ark
UM

Ark(2-2):
UM
LSU
MSU
Mizzou

Aub(1-4):
A&M
Geo
Alabama